Junkie’s Week 5 – Hits and Misses

7 10 2011

Last week I targeted ESPN’s Matthew Berry and his personal rankings to see if I could pinpoint some guys that would vastly out perform the spot they were ranked. And I did ok, you can see the full writeup here. In the end I went 3-3, normally I would be thrilled but I missed horribly on a couple and I don’t feel great about it. BUT, the three I got right all ended in the top 5 at their respective positions. So I guess, after typing that, I feel thrilled once more. Garcon finished first, the Lions DEF finished third and Josh Freeman finished 4th. Pretty good since Berry’s rankings had them all as non-starters in traditional formats. On the flip-side I missed big time on Roy Helu, Leonard Pope and Randy McMichael. I will never pick another TE as the Sunday Lightning in a Bottle again.

But before I get to this weeks hits and misses, I must apologize for not getting my pickups column out earlier in the week. Maybe I was a little jaded after not getting Ridley, Redman or Torrain off waivers in the one league where I lost Jamaal Charles but that shouldn’t affect my blog! Get it together Junkie! 

This week I’m targeting Brad Evans, @yahoonoise, if you follow him on the twitter. He has great insight into fantasy football and I love his Flames/Lames article he writes for the RotoArcade at Yahoo. It’s by far, the one article that resembles what I’m trying to do here. He also tracks his overall record so you can see just how good or bad he’s doing in a certain year. So in honor of you Mr. Evans, I try to pick apart your weekly rankings and find the gems that could be hidden!

To be honest I was going to go with Donovan McNabb as the QB but Evans has him ranked 14 overall. A great call IMO and he’s the highest of all the Yahoo analysts. That makes McNabb a borderline starter and someone I can’t touch for this article.

1. QB: Kevin Kolb – Evans Rank 19

Minnesota could be a tough game for Kolb, especially if his protection breaks down against a formidable Viking defensive front, but I just think he’s got enough talent to weather the storm. Lets face it, the Vikings will play an excellent first half, then dial it back and let the Cardinals go wild with short intermediate throws. In the end Kolb probably ends with 2 touchdowns and about 225 yards. If he can stay away from the interceptions and sacks it will be good enough to crack the top 10.

2. RB: Dexter McCluster – Evans Rank 34

Going up against a really banged up Colts team, I could see the Chiefs wanting to run a lot in this game. I could also see this being Thomas Jones’ best game of the season if he starts off hot. Let’s hope for this pick, that he does not. Jones still gets enough touches to warrant owning in deep leagues but he does almost nothing with his attempts. At what point does Hailey just let McCluster take over?

3. WR: Jacoby Jones – Evans Rank 45

I was on record earlier in the year, thinking Jones would take the next step… well here is your chance! Although I’m really curious if Kubiak finds a way to use James Casey a bit more.

4. TE: Kellen Winslow – Evans Rank 16

Winslow has been a steady target for Freeman but to this point Freeman has done a magnificent job of spreading the ball this year. Leaving less targets for Winslow. I think this week on the road against a team that stops the run pretty well, Winslow gets a couple more looks and can hopefully sneak in for his first touchdown of the year.

5. DEF: New Orleans Saints – Evans Rank Unranked (15 defenses ranked)

Brad Evans was the only Yahoo analyst to leave the Saints out of the top 15. I believe the Saints give up a ton of yards to Cam Newton and the Panthers but I also believe the Panthers give up some big plays on special teams. And I also think the opportunistic Saints Defense will come through on a couple INT’s.

-FFJ

To qualify as a hit the players must get to certain benchmarks within the weekly scoring leaders of ESPN standard leagues. Quarterbacks must reach the top 10. Running backs must reach the top 25. Wide receivers must reach the top 30. Tight ends and defenses must reach the top 10. The rankings I use next to the players names are the ranks as of the writing of this article. 

Advertisements

Actions

Information

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s




%d bloggers like this: